Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,740.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

81% serial event bettor

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is buying Yes despite this being a liquid market and only a modest-sized trade.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 1,691 bets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 45 events and 127 markets.
Yes has already moved up 17 points today, and this buy follows the same momentum.

$1,338 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp cluster buying Yes

Three wallets, including a serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved hit rate and another highly profitable bettor, clustered on Yes amid strong upward price momentum.

A bettor with an 81% resolved hit rate is part of this Yes cluster.
Another wallet in the group is up about $331K lifetime across 928 resolved markets.
The market has already moved strongly toward Yes, up 18.5% today and 52.5% this week.

$4,390 on Yes

81% serial cross-market winner

Serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate bought Yes at 60% amid strong market momentum, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest bet size.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 1,691 bets, with a long history across 126 markets.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $641K flagged across 44 events, suggesting a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 19 points in the past day, and this entry at 60¢ is already in profit.

$1,812 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

90% winner buying momentum

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, buying into a market with strong recent momentum.

This bettor has won 53 of 59 resolved bets and is up $3,149 lifetime.
They bought Yes at 59¢ after the market moved up 18.6 points in the last day.
Their track record suggests they may have an edge even though this is a smaller $1,200 trade.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 64497951, $321,341
0xc053...8c11 — Outcome 70091137, $75,886
0xa638...1d87 — Outcome 70091137, $11,351 (54% win rate)
0x878a...a429 — Outcome 70091137, $8,166
0xb06a...52f5 — Outcome 70091137, $6,908
0x0888...e6e3 — Outcome 70091137, $6,000
0xa097...9b72 — Outcome 70091137, $5,000
0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 70091137, $4,100
0xbea2...2d33 — Outcome 70091137, $4,084
0x7db5...cf18 — Outcome 70091137, $4,062

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Musk tweets moderately often

Covers 1 related market

Ceasefire extension won't happen

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?$8,740 tracked4 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

99¢

66¢

33¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction