Part of: Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Anthropic will release the next Mythos-class model after Claude Fable 5 and make it publicly available by August 31, 2026, Eastern Time. A qualifying model must include “Mythos” in its official name or be officially described by Anthropic as Mythos-class; the market resolves on September 30, 2026.

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,731.

Categories: Claude Mythos, Claude, AI, Anthropic IPO, Tech, Anthropic, AI Regulation, AI Releases

Notable Trades

Serial trader backs No heavily

A proven serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate placed a large, highly concentrated No bet in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of 75 resolved trades and has earned nearly $99,000.
  • The $1,731 No bet represented 91.6% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The trade aligns with a serial cross-market strategy spanning 29 events and 41 markets.

$1,731 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x75a2...6992 Yes, $3,970 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x0b28...1f8a Yes, $3,829
  3. 0x3089...92f6 No, $2,996 (38% win rate)
  4. 0x3594...dc58 No, $2,724 (42% win rate)
  5. 0x524d...4495 No, $2,568 (75% win rate)
  6. 0xacdf...251c Yes, $2,000
  7. 0xb2ca...5fb0 No, $1,772
  8. 0x8633...8c5f Yes, $1,547
  9. 0xac4a...bf1e Yes, $1,096
  10. 0xa8c6...44e8 No, $1,046 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

No Mythos-Class Model by August 2026

Covers 1 related market

Brief ceasefire collapses before August

Covers 3 related markets

Israel-Iran ceasefire will hold

Covers 5 related markets

Iranian blockade ends after August

Covers 4 related markets

Scott Jennings won’t become press secretary

Covers 1 related market

Iran-Oman won’t reach agreement

Covers 1 related market

Anthropic won’t IPO by October 31

Covers 1 related market

No qualifying US-Iran meeting by 2026

Covers 1 related market

Musk tweets 65 or more

Covers 2 related markets

Musk won't post 40-64 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

36dNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?$1,731 tracked1 signalClaude MythosClaudeAIAnthropic IPOTechAnthropicAI RegulationAI Releases
Yes
15¢
No
85¢

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “No
95¢
81¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

2d ago

$1,731 on No at 75¢

75¢85¢10¢

Related Theses