Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
This Polymarket tracks whether Rumen Radev will be the next person officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria after the parliamentary election scheduled for April 19, 2026. The market does not count interim or caretaker prime ministers, and it resolves to “Other” if no qualifying prime minister is sworn in by March 31, 2027. Traders use this market to follow prediction market odds around Bulgaria’s post-election government formation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,087.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Global Elections, Bulgaria, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor chasing breakout
A bettor with an 81% win rate bought into a thin Bulgarian PM market after a sharp breakout, suggesting informed momentum despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades, which is notable even if their average prices are high.
- The market is thin at just $3.1k in 24-hour volume, and this $1.1k buy helped confirm a sharp move higher.
- They bought Yes at 90¢ after a 35-point breakout, signaling conviction that the market should stay near the top of the range.
$1,087 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x6bad...4d53 — No, $2,795
- 0xbe4f...b7b7 — Yes, $2,248 (81% win rate)
- 0x95e4...10c3 — Yes, $1,920
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,311
- 0x8a47...d7f1 — Yes, $601
- 0xcacf...115e — No, $598 (55% win rate)
- 0xef44...5483 — Yes, $591
- 0xaefa...f98e — Yes, $568 (53% win rate)
- 0xa0cb...ab6a — Yes, $517 (59% win rate)
- 0x6f83...e34b — No, $500
