Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,810.

Categories: Culture, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50, Politics

Notable Trades

Late-count momentum buyer

A moderately sized near-resolution BUY No caught a major move from 90¢ to 98¢ on a live-counting Elon tweet market, though the wallet’s negative lifetime P&L makes this more of a momentum/timing signal than a proven sharp-bettor alert.

This bettor bought No at 90¢ about 54 minutes before resolution, and the market quickly moved to 98¢.
The trade rode a large late price move as the tweet-count window was nearly over.
The wallet wins 86% of resolved bets, but is down lifetime, so this is mainly a timing signal.

$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Momentum buyer into NO

Yes collapsed 62 points on a near-resolution, countable market, and this trader is continuing the move by effectively buying No at 82¢.

Yes crashed from about 80¢ to 14¢ in a day, signaling a major market update.
This trade effectively buys No at 82¢, ahead of a market ending shortly.
The wallet is profitable overall, up about $5.2K across $263K traded.

$2,310 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 81275906, $112,094
0x6be9...3493 — Outcome 29540216, $6,900
0xe53d...146c — Outcome 29540216, $6,660
0x9e02...098c — Outcome 29540216, $6,000
0xe243...af59 — Outcome 29540216, $4,300
0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 29540216, $3,504
0xbfb5...3f64 — Outcome 29540216, $3,465
0xaf46...8c1d — Outcome 29540216, $3,342 (45% win rate)
0x93fd...7e2f — Outcome 29540216, $2,500
0xc4b1...10f8 — Outcome 29540216, $2,500

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Musk posts 80-99 tweets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026?$4,810 tracked2 signalsCultureTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50Politics

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades