Elon Musk # tweets May 4 - May 6, 2026?
2 signals across 1 market · $4,810 tracked · resolves May 6, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Elon Musk posts 40-64 times on X between May 4 at 12:00 PM ET and May 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Traders are pricing a specific tweet-count range, with PolySpotter tracking $4,810 in smart money activity and recent signals showing both a late-count momentum buyer and momentum buying into NO.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Late-count momentum buyer
A moderately sized near-resolution BUY No caught a major move from 90¢ to 98¢ on a live-counting Elon tweet market, though the wallet’s negative lifetime P&L makes this more of a momentum/timing signal than a proven sharp-bettor alert.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.8 - Momentum buyer into NO
Yes collapsed 62 points on a near-resolution, countable market, and this trader is continuing the move by effectively buying No at 82¢.
$2,310Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x017024…a17c$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x7c6cf2…1f86$2,310 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Elon Musk posts 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
The live odds are set by Polymarket traders buying YES or NO on whether Elon Musk’s qualifying X posts land in the 40-64 range during the event window. PolySpotter tracks those market prices alongside smart money activity.
What counts as a tweet in this Elon Musk prediction market?
Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from @elonmusk count. Replies do not count, except replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker; deleted posts may count if captured before removal.
What is smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,810 in smart money across 2 signals. Recent alerts included a late-count momentum buyer and a momentum buyer into NO, suggesting active positioning around whether the final count will stay inside the 40-64 range.
When does the Elon Musk tweet-count market resolve?
The posting window runs from May 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 6, 2026 at 16:00 UTC.