Part of: Claude Mythos released by…?
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,935.
Categories: anthropic, Tech, AI, Claude
Notable Trades
14-wallet funded cluster
High composite alert from a 14-wallet funded cluster buying Yes near expiry amid a 42.7x volume spike, despite the market already pricing Yes at 94%.
- This bettor is part of a 14-wallet funded cluster, a strong signal of coordinated conviction.
- Market volume spiked 42.7x ahead of resolution, with Yes already moving from their 90¢ entry to 94¢.
- The wallet is profitable overall, up about $875K lifetime across $66M traded.
$4,314 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
86% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and strong edge bought $1.5k of No on the Claude Mythos release market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades, going 38-for-44 so far.
- Their past bets averaged 50¢ entry odds, meaning they have beaten the market by a wide margin.
- They put $1.5k on No at 41¢, implying they see the release-by-deadline odds as overstated.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new AI-release bettor
A 12-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets is buying Yes on a thin AI-release market while also positioning across related markets.
- This 12-day-old bettor is already up $6.2K on $28K invested, with 6 flagged positions so far.
- They are spreading a $12K thesis across 3 related markets, suggesting a focused view on this event.
- The market is thin, and this $1.1K Yes buy is meaningful versus $3.4K liquidity.
$1,121 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 58247836, $29,143 (72% win rate)
- 0x8dd2...6ba2 — Outcome 58247836, $20,423
- 0xf84f...5c5c — Outcome 58247836, $15,025
- 0x3579...14fc — Outcome 58247836, $10,000
- 0x4c61...db4b — Outcome 58247836, $8,486 (69% win rate)
- 0x1627...c8ec — Outcome 58247836, $5,808
- 0x2224...23e1 — Outcome 58247836, $5,291 (92% win rate)
- 0x6dce...4490 — Outcome 58247836, $5,246 (20% win rate)
- 0xd9c1...5447 — Outcome 58247836, $5,164
- 0x1682...26ca — Outcome 58247836, $5,000 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
Anthropic tops three trillion
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OpenAI hits $800B, not $1.5T
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Starmer exits by May 2026
Covers 3 related markets
Mythos releases by June 9
Covers 3 related markets
