Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
This prediction market asks whether the CME front-month NYMEX Crude Oil (CL) futures contract will officially settle at or below $70 on any trading day before the end of June 2026. It resolves to Yes if that threshold is hit at least once between market creation and June 30, 2026, and otherwise resolves to No. Traders watching oil prediction market odds are using this market to gauge downside risk in crude prices over the first half of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,786.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
New whale pressing oil thesis
A 3-day-old wallet has already put nearly $29k across 6 flagged bets in related crude oil markets, and this $4.8k buy adds fresh directional conviction on a reasonably active market.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made 6 large flagged bets totaling about $29k
- The trade adds a fresh $4.8k position in a related crude oil market, showing a clear repeat thesis
- Bought at 74¢ in a market with $27k liquidity, so this is meaningful size rather than routine noise
$4,786 on No
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $47,574 (38% win rate)
- 0x5f45...a77a — No, $22,490 (62% win rate)
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — No, $8,984 (78% win rate)
- 0x993c...6787 — No, $8,000
- 0x74b4...6bea — Yes, $7,750
- 0x8b87...3e8d — No, $7,660
- 0x85d5...aece — No, $5,000
- 0x71ab...f015 — Yes, $4,662
- 0x6dc4...6770 — No, $2,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x3e1c...292f — No, $1,990
