Part of: Next Senate Majority Leader?
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
This prediction market asks whether John Thune will be announced as the next U.S. Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026 general election. It is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027, based on the first announced leader from the party that holds the Senate majority, with $1,703 in smart money tracked and one recent signal: a proven bettor buying NO.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,703.
Categories: Senate, US Election, Elections, Midterms, Trump, Politics, Congress, World Elections, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Proven bettor buying NO
Despite only a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a large resolved track record, a 76% win rate, and positive lifetime P&L, and the trade has already moved 10 points in its favor.
- This bettor has won 76% of 286 resolved bets and is up about $28k lifetime.
- They bought $1.7k of No at 56¢ in a quiet market with only $4k traded in 24 hours.
- The position has already moved to 66¢, suggesting the market followed their direction quickly.
$1,703 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,773
- 0x56eb...076a — Yes, $1,947 (63% win rate)
- 0x803f...f6ed — Yes, $700
- 0xb8ad...ff58 — Yes, $606
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $600
- 0xc602...7fc1 — No, $476 (43% win rate)
- 0x3e6e...99ea — Yes, $444
- 0x614e...4f1b — No, $279 (76% win rate)
- 0xfbdf...3256 — Yes, $158
- 0x7495...7fcf — No, $114
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