Part of: Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket market tracks whether official representatives of Russia and Ukraine will hold a diplomatic meeting about Russia-Ukraine relations by December 31, 2026. It resolves to Yes if an authorized, official meeting occurs by the deadline, and No otherwise. PolySpotter is tracking $5,455 in smart money activity, including a recent YES buy from a trader labeled as a 72% winner.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,455.
Categories: Politics, putin, zelensky, Geopolitics, Russia, Ukraine
Notable Trades
72% winner buying YES
A proven serial cross-market trader with a 72% resolved win rate bought $5.5k of Yes in a relatively quiet geopolitical market.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
- They have traded across 106 events with $8.8M in total volume, suggesting a seasoned cross-market edge.
- This $5.5K buy was about 70% of the market’s 24h volume, and the price has already moved from 78¢ to 81¢.
$5,455 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xa0bc...d428 — No, $3,700
- 0x709a...7e39 — Yes, $3,320
- 0x7fd3...e662 — No, $2,773 (42% win rate)
- 0x2525...b919 — No, $2,141 (55% win rate)
- 0x248a...4b4a — Yes, $1,300 (100% win rate)
- 0x9f08...73a8 — Yes, $1,163 (81% win rate)
- 0xb1fe...423a — No, $1,048
- 0xf75b...672e — Yes, $956
- 0x2758...a3af — No, $900
- 0xa65c...32fb — Yes, $800
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