Part of: Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,244.

Categories: Trump-Xi Summit, Jinping, China, Politics, Trump, Xi

Notable Trades

Profitable cluster buying Yes

A profitable high-volume bettor joined a 3-wallet Yes cluster before a major 1-day move to 95%, though the current price is already above the suggested chase level.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $27.8K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $8.2K of Yes before the market jumped 51 points in a day.
  • The early entries around 83¢ have already moved to 95¢, so this looks strong but hard to chase now.

$8,201 on Yes

Sharp 87% winner caught move

Despite a low standalone price-impact score, this is worth surfacing because the buyer has an 87% record across 236 resolved bets and caught a sharp Yes move early.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $27.8K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 72¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
  • The market is thin, with only about $1.5K in liquidity, so a sharp buyer moving early matters.

$1,043 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable event trader buying No

A profitable 115-bet wallet bought No after a major price-impact move, though the entry is already worse than current market odds.

  • This bettor has a solid 115-bet history and is up about $9k lifetime.
  • They put $2,000 on No while the No price broke far above its prior range.
  • This is part of a small cross-market thesis, with $3,500 traded across 2 related markets.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x12a2...0e71 Outcome 62579117, $5,773 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xddb1...ea72 Outcome 62579117, $4,911 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xd426...334a Outcome 62579117, $3,858 (41% win rate)
  4. 0xee67...67a6 Outcome 62579117, $3,857
  5. 0xb78d...8ead Outcome 62579117, $3,857
  6. 0xc1ec...64b6 Outcome 62579117, $3,364
  7. 0x2606...aadd Outcome 62579117, $3,232 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x2a4d...dcad Outcome 62579117, $2,200
  9. 0xfe49...7a4c Outcome 62579117, $1,893 (52% win rate)
  10. 0x5882...55a2 Outcome 62579117, $1,531 (67% win rate)

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Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

ResolvedTrump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?$11,244 tracked3 signalsTrump-Xi SummitJinpingChinaPoliticsTrumpXi

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
99¢
63¢
28¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

17d ago

$8,201 on Yes at 83¢

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

17d ago

$1,043 on Yes at 72¢

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

19d ago

$2,000 on No at 68¢

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