Part of: Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,244.
Categories: Trump-Xi Summit, Jinping, China, Politics, Trump, Xi
Notable Trades
Profitable cluster buying Yes
A profitable high-volume bettor joined a 3-wallet Yes cluster before a major 1-day move to 95%, though the current price is already above the suggested chase level.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $27.8K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $8.2K of Yes before the market jumped 51 points in a day.
- The early entries around 83¢ have already moved to 95¢, so this looks strong but hard to chase now.
$8,201 on Yes
Sharp 87% winner caught move
Despite a low standalone price-impact score, this is worth surfacing because the buyer has an 87% record across 236 resolved bets and caught a sharp Yes move early.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $27.8K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 72¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
- The market is thin, with only about $1.5K in liquidity, so a sharp buyer moving early matters.
$1,043 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable event trader buying No
A profitable 115-bet wallet bought No after a major price-impact move, though the entry is already worse than current market odds.
- This bettor has a solid 115-bet history and is up about $9k lifetime.
- They put $2,000 on No while the No price broke far above its prior range.
- This is part of a small cross-market thesis, with $3,500 traded across 2 related markets.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x12a2...0e71 — Outcome 62579117, $5,773 (64% win rate)
- 0xddb1...ea72 — Outcome 62579117, $4,911 (64% win rate)
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 62579117, $3,858 (41% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 62579117, $3,857
- 0xb78d...8ead — Outcome 62579117, $3,857
- 0xc1ec...64b6 — Outcome 62579117, $3,364
- 0x2606...aadd — Outcome 62579117, $3,232 (67% win rate)
- 0x2a4d...dcad — Outcome 62579117, $2,200
- 0xfe49...7a4c — Outcome 62579117, $1,893 (52% win rate)
- 0x5882...55a2 — Outcome 62579117, $1,531 (67% win rate)
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Iran keeps airspace open
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No major China purchases
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Starmer exits after May 15
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