Part of: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

This prediction market asks whether SpaceX’s official closing market capitalization on its first trading day after an IPO will be above $2.4 trillion. It resolves based on the primary exchange’s official listing price, and if no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, the market resolves to No. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,056 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,056.

Categories: Tech, Big Tech, Elon Musk, IPO, SpaceX, IPOs, Climate & Science

Notable Trades

Profitable SpaceX thesis bettor

A profitable wallet is building a broader SpaceX IPO valuation thesis across 5 related markets, with recent momentum supporting the direction, though the individual trade is modest.

  • This wallet has put $38K across 5 related SpaceX IPO markets, suggesting a broader valuation thesis.
  • The bettor is up $9.6K lifetime despite a low hit rate, indicating selective larger wins may be driving profits.
  • Yes has moved up 10 points in the past day, and this buy at 48¢ is joining that momentum.

$1,056 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 42%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16c7...3931 Yes, $100,980 (42% win rate)
  2. 0x3402...9446 No, $19,269 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xa3cc...447c Yes, $15,958 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xab1c...aadd No, $15,380 (49% win rate)
  5. 0x7789...a2ce No, $12,123 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x5f45...cabc Yes, $11,417
  7. 0x9680...0263 No, $10,185 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x46a1...2736 No, $10,063 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xe89e...0600 No, $8,519 (51% win rate)
  10. 0xf566...1386 No, $8,477 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

SpaceX IPO tops $3T

Covers 5 related markets

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

587dSpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1,056 tracked1 signalTechBig TechElon MuskIPOSpaceXIPOsClimate & Science
Yes
43¢
No
57¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Price History — “No
70¢
60¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

3d ago

$1,056 on Yes at 48¢

48¢43¢5¢

Related Theses