Part of: Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,243.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Democratic Primary, Vermont Primary, US Election

Notable Trades

Serial trader adds to No

A serial cross-market trader with 1,261 resolved bets is adding to a No position in a thin market, though the track record does not clearly outperform its typically high entry prices.

This bettor has traded 102 markets across 94 events and is up $56,849 lifetime.
The $1,243 purchase was larger than the market’s entire prior 24-hour volume of $920.
They are adding to an existing No position at 54¢ as No has risen to 57%, signaling continued conviction.

$1,243 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 43006226, $5,018
0xdd5d...1614 — Outcome 16783606, $3,000 (80% win rate)
0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 16783606, $786 (19% win rate)
0x43cb...84df — Outcome 16783606, $470
0x815a...af37 — Outcome 43006226, $445
0xdbe0...32cd — Outcome 16783606, $238
0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 16783606, $164 (67% win rate)
0x97d6...fc6d — Outcome 16783606, $134
0x3057...bf7b — Outcome 16783606, $100
0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 16783606, $79

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Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

ResolvedVermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner$1,243 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryVermont PrimaryUS Election

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Price History — “No”

60¢

44¢

28¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction