Part of: Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether a referendum on Alberta’s independence from Canada will pass by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $5,679 in smart money activity, with the latest signal showing repeat whale buying on “No.” The market resolves based primarily on official information from the Government of Alberta, with credible reporting used if needed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,679.
Categories: World, Canada, Trump, Politics
Notable Trades
Repeat whale buying No
A repeat large bettor with a small but perfect resolved record put $5.7k on No in a relatively quiet Alberta independence market.
- This wallet has won all 5 resolved bets so far and is up $4.4k lifetime.
- The $5.7k No buy was large for recent activity, flagged as over 10x the market’s thin 24h volume baseline.
- This is a clear conviction bet at 87¢ that Alberta independence will not pass by the end of 2026.
$5,679 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x2b76...edef — Yes, $45,788
- 0xbad2...5296 — No, $16,778 (51% win rate)
- 0xb1ca...1705 — No, $14,117 (59% win rate)
- 0xcfc4...c423 — Yes, $9,111
- 0xfb0f...325b — Yes, $9,038
- 0xfb9b...5112 — No, $8,200
- 0xc021...1fa8 — No, $7,089 (54% win rate)
- 0x6a1a...8609 — Yes, $6,929
- 0x8b36...a393 — No, $6,527 (100% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...99b5 — Yes, $5,750
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