Part of: Another GTA VI trailer released by...?

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,075.

Categories: GTA VI, Games, Culture

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No conviction cluster

Three wallets added $5,199 to No while the market fell 25% in one day, providing a meaningful coordinated bearish signal despite limited evidence of exceptional trader skill.

  • Three wallets are aligned on No with $5,199 of combined buying, including additional investments in existing positions.
  • No has risen from roughly 75–80¢ to 86¢ as the market fell 25% over one day, corroborating the bearish thesis.
  • The group includes a 97% winner over 36 resolved bets, though its modest lifetime profit limits the strength of that track record.

$5,199 on No

Seven-wallet cluster backs Yes

A seven-wallet funded cluster is backing Yes at 37%, creating a meaningful coordinated-flow signal despite the bettor's only moderate historical edge.

  • Seven wallets sharing a funder have deployed $3,078 toward the same market thesis.
  • This wallet bought Yes at 37%, while its prior No position was closed, signaling a notable directional reversal.
  • The trader has a 66% win rate across 186 resolved bets, though its average winning entry of 89% limits the evidence of exceptional skill.

$1,843 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Serial trader adds to No

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader is adding substantially to an existing No position, with recent price momentum supporting the thesis despite a limited demonstrated odds edge.

  • This bettor has resolved 683 trades with an 80% win rate and $31,540 in realized profit.
  • They added $1,032 to an existing No position, bringing their investment to roughly $2,600 on the outcome.
  • No has fallen 45 percentage points over the past week, supporting the trader’s bearish view on another trailer by the deadline.

$1,032 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1232...6158 — Yes, $18,805
  2. 0xf0d5...c665 — Yes, $12,619 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xe5fe...2745 — Yes, $9,527
  4. 0x9ad0...bf3d — Yes, $8,587 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xe234...304a — Yes, $8,200 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x8c67...bb39 — Yes, $7,127
  7. 0xb17d...59ae — Yes, $7,080 (82% win rate)
  8. 0xa676...1c22 — Yes, $6,000 (44% win rate)
  9. 0x49c5...2b4c — Yes, $5,085
  10. 0x9d12...bdf6 — Yes, $2,865

Related Theses

Neither party controls the Senate

Covers 2 related markets

Iran ceasefire holds through December

Covers 7 related markets

Flávio Bolsonaro wins, Lula loses

Covers 2 related markets

Iran blockade likely persists through 2026

Covers 9 related markets

Ceasefire holds through August

Covers 15 related markets

US Iran deal in May

Covers 4 related markets

Fed will hike rates 25 bps

Covers 2 related markets

Ceasefire by July, briefly lapses, returns

Covers 4 related markets

Iran ceasefire breaks, resumes, then ends

Covers 3 related markets

MicroStrategy holds its Bitcoin

Covers 1 related market

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

Another GTA VI trailer released by...?$8,075 tracked3 signalsGTA VIGamesCulture
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

Notable Trades

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

2026-08-27 19:23 UTC

$5,199 on No at 86¢

86¢→100¢↑14¢

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

2026-08-25 22:51 UTC

$1,843 on Yes at 37¢

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

2026-08-10 02:57 UTC

$1,032 on No at 65¢

65¢→100¢↑35¢

Related Theses

Neither party controls the Senate
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 2 related markets
Will the Republican Party cont…Will the Democratic Party cont…
Iran ceasefire holds through December
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 7 related markets
US x Iran ceasefire continues …US x Iran ceasefire continues …US x Iran ceasefire continues …
Flávio Bolsonaro wins, Lula loses
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 2 related markets
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva…Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the …
Iran blockade likely persists through 2026
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 9 related markets
US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…
Ceasefire holds through August
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 15 related markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…
US Iran deal in May
Wallet_0x8597c trades 4 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Fed will hike rates 25 bps
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 2 related markets
Will there be no change in Fed…Will the Fed increase interest…
Ceasefire by July, briefly lapses, returns
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 4 related markets
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …
Iran ceasefire breaks, resumes, then ends
Wallet_0xe2349 trades 3 related markets
US ceasefire against Iran cont…US ceasefire against Iran cont…US ceasefire against Iran cont…
MicroStrategy holds its Bitcoin
Wallet_0x8597c trades 1 related market
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoi…