Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran blockade likely persists through 2026”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?, US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?, and 6 more are correlated outcomes, committing $30,218 to this thesis across 9 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xe234966% win rate

Total

$30,218

Markets

9

Positions

  1. 1US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
    $1,850 @ 43¢
  2. 2US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
    $1,194 @ 30¢
  3. 3US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
    $4,333 @ 67¢
  4. 4US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
    $2,255 @ 66¢
  5. 5US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
    $9,361 @ 86¢
  6. 6US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
    $3,850 @ 77¢
  7. 7US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
    $4,050 @ 81¢
  8. 8US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
    $1,922 @ 63¢
  9. 9US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
    $1,403 @ 64¢
Iran blockade likely persists through 2026 — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter