Cross-Market Thesis
“Ceasefire lasts into October, not December”
This trader is expressing a view that Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?, Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?, Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?, and 11 more are correlated outcomes, committing $30,428 to this thesis across 14 prediction markets on Polymarket.
T
Trader_0xe234966% win rate
Total
$30,428
Markets
14
Positions
- 1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$5,726 @ 88¢
- 2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1,760 @ 30¢
- 3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1,694 @ 34¢
- 4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$2,624 @ 80¢
- 5Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$1,647 @ 72¢
- 6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$1,376 @ 74¢
- 7Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$3,034 @ 76¢
- 8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$2,393 @ 64¢
- 9Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2,094 @ 82¢
- 10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?$1,118 @ 76¢
- 11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?$2,092 @ 70¢
- 12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$1,583 @ 65¢
- 13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1,675 @ 33¢
- 14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$1,611 @ 76¢