DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?

This Polymarket asks whether the next major DeepSeek V model, such as DeepSeek V4 or a clearly named successor to DeepSeek-V3, will be released to the general public by April 26, 2026. Intermediate updates like DeepSeek-V3.5 do not count. PolySpotter currently tracks $5,714 in smart money on this market, with a recent alert noting a proven event trader flipping bullish ahead of the resolution deadline.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,714.

Categories: Tech, AI, China

Notable Trades

Proven event trader flips bullish

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is making a fresh, sizable Yes bet after previously closing the opposite side, suggesting an updated directional view.

  • This bettor has 1,150 resolved trades, wins 67% of them, and is up about $62k overall.
  • They trade across related markets often — 264 events and 444 markets tracked — which suggests a repeatable event-driven process.
  • This is a fresh $5.7k buy at 85¢ after previously exiting a small No position, showing a clear shift to Yes.

$5,714 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf29a...35b6 Outcome 11275290, $9,150
  2. 0xc11a...e32b Outcome 11275290, $2,876
  3. 0x30f9...fbfc Outcome 11275290, $2,704
  4. 0x7b5b...a047 Outcome 11275290, $2,107
  5. 0x235e...5673 Outcome 11275290, $1,990
  6. 0xcc26...32ca Outcome 20349779, $1,771 (24% win rate)
  7. 0x966f...2746 Outcome 11275290, $1,300
  8. 0xeda0...7dff Outcome 11275290, $1,199
  9. 0x71e1...45f0 Outcome 20349779, $998 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xfd1a...76b4 Outcome 20349779, $853

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?

1d$5,714 tracked1 signalTechAIChina

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by April 26, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?

4h ago

$5,714 on Yes at 85¢

Related Theses