DeepSeek V4 released by...?
3 signals across 2 markets · $8,714 tracked · resolves Apr 15, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on whether the next major DeepSeek V model, such as DeepSeek V4 or V5, will be publicly released by the relevant April 2026 deadlines. Traders are pricing outcomes across multiple related markets, including release-by-April-26 and release-by-April-30 scenarios, while PolySpotter highlights smart-money activity from AI-focused bettors.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven event trader flips bullish
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is making a fresh, sizable Yes bet after previously closing the opposite side, suggesting an updated directional view.
$5,714Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.0 - Repeat new-wallet AI bettor
A repeat new wallet has already put nearly $15k into flagged bets and just added another $2k to a rising AI release market, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.
$2,000Score: 5.5 - 93% win-rate AI contrarian
A very high-win-rate serial event trader bought No on a major AI release market, offering a followable contrarian signal despite only moderate size.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9aeb53…2729$5,714 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xa32ac6…50d1$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x3c5b20…0584$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the DeepSeek V4 release odds on Polymarket?
The event aggregates markets on whether DeepSeek’s next major V model is publicly available by late April 2026. Check the live hub for current Yes/No pricing across the April 26 and April 30 deadline markets.
What counts as a DeepSeek V4 release for these markets?
A qualifying release must be the next major DeepSeek V model, such as V4 or V5, made available to the general public. Intermediate versions like DeepSeek-V3.5 do not count, and a closed beta alone would not be enough.
What is the smart money doing on the DeepSeek V4 markets?
PolySpotter has tracked several smart-money signals across this event, including a proven event trader flipping bullish, a repeat new-wallet AI bettor, and activity from a 93% win-rate AI contrarian.
When do the DeepSeek V4 prediction markets resolve?
The event is expected to resolve after the relevant April 2026 release deadlines, with final resolution listed by April 15, 2026 UTC for the hub data. Each child market may depend on its specific stated deadline and Polymarket’s resolution rules.
Why are there multiple DeepSeek V4 markets in this event?
The event hub groups related markets that ask whether DeepSeek V4 is released by different late-April 2026 dates. This lets traders price not just whether a release happens, but also the timing of that release.