Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,284.

Categories: Tech, AI, google, Business, Big Tech

Notable Trades

85% winner buying thin Yes

Moderately interesting: a profitable 85% bettor bought Yes in a thin, wide-spread market that has already moved sharply upward.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $31K lifetime.
  • Their $2.3K Yes buy is large for this thin market, roughly matching available liquidity.
  • Yes is up 20% today, so this looks like follow-through on strong momentum.

$2,284 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x55f1...842d No, $16,867
  2. 0xe270...0fc7 Yes, $3,998 (85% win rate)
  3. 0xcd95...8c17 Yes, $3,308
  4. 0xd14a...a8ad No, $3,255 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x9cd7...9c85 Yes, $3,085
  6. 0x2110...5850 Yes, $2,103
  7. 0xbd36...aaf9 Yes, $1,687
  8. 0x5d91...35b8 No, $1,565
  9. 0x25fa...408e Yes, $1,170
  10. 0x2c97...202d Yes, $1,148

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

57d$2,284 tracked1 signalTechAIgoogleBusinessBig Tech
Yes
69¢
No
31¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
73¢
51¢
28¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

3h ago

$2,284 on Yes at 61¢

61¢69¢8¢

Related Theses

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | PolySpotter