Gemini 3.5 released by...?
10 signals across 2 markets · $19,775 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Google will make Gemini 3.5 publicly available by key 2026 deadlines, with separate markets for release by May 31 and June 30. PolySpotter is monitoring $17,597 in smart-money activity across the event, including signals from profitable AI bettors, serial cross-market buyers, and traders buying NO.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial cross-market buyer
Three wallets bought Yes into a fast-moving Gemini release market, led by a highly active cross-market trader with a 67% win rate and $63k lifetime profit.
$3,654Score: 12.6 - Serial cross-market winner
Serial cross-market trader with a large 1,232-bet history and positive P&L bought No despite a sharp market move toward Yes.
$1,787Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.6 - Profitable serial trader buying NO
A profitable, very active cross-market trader bought $2.9k of No on a thin AI-release market, pushing No higher amid strong recent momentum.
$2,905Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes as part of a broader Gemini 3.5 release thesis across three related markets.
$1,001Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped into Yes and is building a same-event Gemini release thesis amid strong price momentum.
$1,868Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial AI bettor
A highly experienced cross-market trader with a 67% win rate and $63k profit is adding to a broader Gemini 3.5 thesis amid a sharp Yes breakout.
$1,101Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.0 - New wallet riding AI surge
Brand-new wallet put nearly $2.9k into Yes before a major 1-day price surge, suggesting informed conviction despite no resolved track record.
$2,901Score: 5.5 - Fresh wallet caught AI move
A brand-new wallet bought Yes at 80¢ before the market ripped to 96¢, with repeat same-event positioning suggesting it may be reacting to fresh AI-release information.
$1,097Score: 5.5 - 85% winner buying thin Yes
Moderately interesting: a profitable 85% bettor bought Yes in a thin, wide-spread market that has already moved sharply upward.
$2,284Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 3.5 - Proven AI-market sharp
Despite a weak price-impact signal, this is a proven profitable bettor with a 77% win rate taking the Yes side after a sharp market move.
$1,178Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 1.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9aeb53…2729$5,757 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 68% wins
- 0x0fa28c…7ec2$3,998 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0xb10047…6461$2,905 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0xe2708b…0fc7$2,284 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x88b6e6…3cff$1,178 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Gemini 3.5 being released?
This event includes prediction markets for whether Google releases Gemini 3.5 to the general public by May 31, 2026 and by June 30, 2026. The odds move as traders react to Google AI announcements, product timelines, and smart-money positioning.
What counts as a Gemini 3.5 release for this market?
To resolve Yes, Gemini 3.5 must be publicly accessible by the stated deadline, including through an open beta or open rolling waitlist. Closed beta access or private availability would not be enough.
What is smart money doing on the Gemini 3.5 release markets?
PolySpotter has tracked $17,597 in smart-money activity across the Gemini 3.5 event. Recent alerts include profitable serial AI bettors, serial cross-market winners, and a profitable serial trader buying NO, suggesting informed traders are actively debating the release timeline.
When do the Gemini 3.5 release markets resolve?
The child markets are tied to specific deadlines: May 31, 2026 and June 30, 2026. Resolution depends on whether Google publicly announces and makes Gemini 3.5 generally accessible by each deadline.
Why follow Gemini 3.5 prediction market odds?
Prediction markets can provide a real-time view of trader expectations around Google's AI roadmap. Watching smart-money signals may help identify whether experienced traders think a public Gemini 3.5 launch is likely before the listed deadlines.