Event

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

2 signals across 2 markets · $5,189 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets (2)

  1. Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?1 signal · $2,905 tracked
  2. Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?1 signal · $2,284 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial trader buying NO

    A profitable, very active cross-market trader bought $2.9k of No on a thin AI-release market, pushing No higher amid strong recent momentum.

    $2,905Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 7.0
  2. 85% winner buying thin Yes

    Moderately interesting: a profitable 85% bettor bought Yes in a thin, wide-spread market that has already moved sharply upward.

    $2,284Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 3.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb100476461$2,905 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
  2. 0xe2708b0fc7$2,284 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

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