Part of: Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by...?

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,203.

Categories: Trump, Canada, Business, Politics, US Canada Trade War

Notable Trades

Linked wallets behind major Yes repricing

A linked-wallet purchase coincided with a dramatic 41-point repricing toward Yes, making this a notable directional signal despite the trader's only moderate win rate.

  • A $1,140 Yes purchase at 88¢ helped drive the market from 47¢ to 88¢, a 41-point move.
  • Two wallets sharing a funder are positioned on the same market, adding coordinated conviction.
  • The trader has won 983 of 1,623 resolved bets and earned $911,000, though the record is not exceptionally sharp relative to typical entry prices.

$1,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

Sharp bettor buys thin-market Yes

A proven, highly profitable bettor made a large fresh Yes bet at 47¢ in a thin market, with the position already repricing to 63¢.

  • This bettor has won 60 of 80 resolved trades, earning $109,198 while buying at average winning odds near 42%.
  • The $2,063 Yes bet was larger than the market's entire recent 24-hour volume and entered at just 47¢.
  • The market has since risen to 63%, reinforcing the bettor's early positioning and broader record across 44 markets.

$2,063 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x85a8...9281 — No, $10,360 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x64b4...74d4 — No, $6,592 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x80a4...22cc — No, $3,976 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x5a21...9318 — No, $1,000 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xa163...603a — No, $854
  6. 0x0c3c...5eea — No, $700 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x5464...af99 — No, $600 (44% win rate)
  8. 0x88ef...76dc — No, $565
  9. 0xf5d1...67cc — No, $400
  10. 0xa277...e568 — No, $276

Related Theses

Iran blockade ends by September

Covers 7 related markets

Israel-Iran ceasefire will hold

Covers 9 related markets

Iran ceasefire holds into November

Covers 5 related markets

Musk won’t post 65-89 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

GTA VI trailer won’t arrive

Covers 1 related market

Spider-Man grosses $800M–$900M

Covers 2 related markets

Trump avoids insulting Carlson, Macron

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran deal by late May

Covers 6 related markets

Trump-Putin won’t meet in China

Covers 1 related market

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by...?$3,203 tracked2 signalsTrumpCanadaBusinessPoliticsUS Canada Trade War
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?

2026-08-28 20:29 UTC

$1,140 on Yes at 88¢

88¢→100¢↑12¢

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?

2026-08-28 08:41 UTC

$2,063 on Yes at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Related Theses