Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether OpenAI will make a model explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a direct successor such as GPT-5.7 or GPT-5.8, available to the general public by July 13, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only for a qualifying public release, while task-specialized models like coding-only variants may not count under the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,451 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,451.

Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt

Notable Trades

New wallet buys momentum

A brand-new wallet made a meaningful Yes bet on a thin AI-release market with strong 24h upward momentum, but there is no proven track record yet.

  • A wallet less than 5 hours old put $1.45k on Yes in a thin market.
  • The market has moved up 19.5 points in the last day, and this trade joined that momentum.
  • The bet is notable relative to the market’s $7.5k liquidity, though the wallet has no resolved history yet.

$1,451 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x876b...1703 No, $3,487 (83% win rate)
  2. 0x1695...2842 Yes, $3,271 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x122c...fbed Yes, $1,894 (56% win rate)
  4. 0xf08c...91e9 No, $1,172
  5. 0x97f3...0eba No, $1,071 (41% win rate)
  6. 0x9352...2227 Yes, $889 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x97ea...3363 No, $748 (69% win rate)
  8. 0xacdf...251c Yes, $671
  9. 0x485a...1c1f No, $606
  10. 0x279c...2b82 No, $549

Related Theses

Claude Fable returns soon

Covers 4 related markets

GPT-5.6 launches July 7-13

Covers 2 related markets

Next Claude Sonnet releases by June

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

10dGPT-5.6 released by...?$1,451 tracked1 signalAIOpenAITechgpt
Yes
85¢
No
15¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
92¢
71¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

6d ago

$1,451 on Yes at 72¢

72¢85¢13¢

Related Theses