Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,451.

Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt

Notable Trades

New wallet buys momentum

A brand-new wallet made a meaningful Yes bet on a thin AI-release market with strong 24h upward momentum, but there is no proven track record yet.

  • A wallet less than 5 hours old put $1.45k on Yes in a thin market.
  • The market has moved up 19.5 points in the last day, and this trade joined that momentum.
  • The bet is notable relative to the market’s $7.5k liquidity, though the wallet has no resolved history yet.

$1,451 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 45%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5a21...9318 — No, $4,782 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x6f2c...e130 — No, $2,400
  3. 0x9952...2edb — No, $2,000
  4. 0x605d...e15b — No, $1,787
  5. 0x3879...d8c3 — No, $1,000
  6. 0x56c2...6219 — No, $1,000
  7. 0xd3e6...f4b9 — No, $746
  8. 0xa089...02a1 — No, $625
  9. 0x485a...1c1f — No, $606
  10. 0xba0c...4715 — No, $600 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Ceasefire arrives after July 24

Covers 2 related markets

Claude Fable returns soon

Covers 4 related markets

Gemini Pro launches August 15–21

Covers 4 related markets

GPT-5.6 launches July 7-13

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-6 won’t launch by October 2026

Covers 5 related markets

Mythos model arrives in mid-September

Covers 4 related markets

Astra will debut below 1500

Covers 2 related markets

Grok 4.6 releases August 13–14

Covers 3 related markets

Next Claude Sonnet releases by June

Covers 2 related markets

Astra releases in late August

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

GPT-5.6 released by...?$1,451 tracked1 signalAIOpenAITechgpt
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

2026-06-25 18:10 UTC

$1,451 on Yes at 72¢

72¢→100¢↑28¢

Related Theses

Ceasefire arrives after July 24
Wallet_0x876bb trades 2 related markets
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …
Claude Fable returns soon
Wallet_0x876bb trades 4 related markets
Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…
Gemini Pro launches August 15–21
Wallet_0x876bb trades 4 related markets
Will the next Google Gemini Pr…Will the next Google Gemini Pr…Will the next Google Gemini Pr…
GPT-5.6 launches July 7-13
Wallet_0x876bb trades 2 related markets
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 20…GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2…
GPT-6 won’t launch by October 2026
Wallet_0x876bb trades 5 related markets
Will GPT-6 be released by Sept…Will GPT-6 be released by Augu…Will GPT-6 be released by Augu…
Mythos model arrives in mid-September
Wallet_0x876bb trades 4 related markets
Next Mythos-Class Model releas…Next Mythos-Class Model releas…Next Mythos-Class Model releas…
Astra will debut below 1500
Wallet_0x876bb trades 2 related markets
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debu…Will OpenAI’s Astra model debu…
Grok 4.6 releases August 13–14
Wallet_0x876bb trades 3 related markets
Grok 4.6 released by August 12…Grok 4.6 released by August 14…Grok 4.6 released by August 7,…
Next Claude Sonnet releases by June
Wallet_0x876bb trades 2 related markets
Will the next Claude Sonnet mo…Will the next Claude Sonnet mo…
Astra releases in late August
Wallet_0x876bb trades 2 related markets
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be r…Will OpenAI’s Astra model be r…