Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,279.

Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt

Notable Trades

Sharp cross-market AI bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% record is building a broader cross-market thesis and bought Yes at 33¢ before the market moved to 42¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $15.6K lifetime.
  • They have placed $7.2K across 5 related markets, suggesting a broader AI-release thesis.
  • Bought Yes at 33¢ before the market moved to 42¢, with odds up 12.5 points today.

$1,279 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Related Theses

GPT-5.6 misses June deadline

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-5.6 launches by July 8

Covers 6 related markets

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

GPT-5.6 released by...?$1,279 tracked1 signalAIOpenAITechgpt
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

2026-06-29 19:05 UTC

$1,279 on Yes at 33¢

Related Theses