Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,058.

Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt

Notable Trades

Proven winner buying favorite

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 328-bet record with positive lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $24,069 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,058 of Yes at 89¢, adding to a market that moved 9 points today.
  • The market is still moderately quiet, so a sharp wallet paying near 90¢ suggests strong conviction.

$1,058 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c4e...6cad No, $3,777 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x4d1b...1419 Yes, $3,087 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x461c...20ab No, $2,800
  4. 0x7365...64da Yes, $2,525 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x5999...ae94 Yes, $2,447 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x279c...2b82 No, $2,150
  7. 0x5a21...9318 No, $1,992 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x6630...2f4e Yes, $1,656
  9. 0x808d...ebfd Yes, $1,500
  10. 0x8a98...1b92 No, $1,378 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Anthropic overtakes Google AI

Covers 2 related markets

Neither Google nor Anthropic leads

Covers 2 related markets

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

21dGPT-5.6 released by...?$1,058 tracked1 signalAIOpenAITechgpt
Yes
90¢
No
10¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
94¢
85¢
75¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

58m ago

$1,058 on Yes at 89¢

89¢90¢1¢

Related Theses