Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,773.
Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt
Notable Trades
Sharp AI bettor flips No
Sharp wallet with an 85% win record and positive lifetime P&L flipped from a prior Yes position to buying No across related GPT release markets.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $9.6K lifetime.
- They have put $6.0K across 3 related GPT release markets, pointing to a broader AI-release thesis.
- They previously closed a Yes position here and are now buying No at 59¢, showing a clear change in view.
$2,228 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp AI bettor flips No
Sharp wallet with an 85% win record and positive lifetime P&L flipped from a prior Yes position to buying No across related GPT release markets.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $9.6K lifetime.
- They have put $6.0K across 3 related GPT release markets, pointing to a broader AI-release thesis.
- They previously closed a Yes position here and are now buying No at 59¢, showing a clear change in view.
$1,486 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
New AI-release whale
Very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets, now buying Yes on a relatively quiet AI-release market despite recent price weakness.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts totaling $22,000.
- The $2,000 buy was larger than recent daily volume on a thin market, suggesting strong conviction.
- The bettor paid 85¢ while the market is now around 74¢, so this is a contrarian add after a recent selloff.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven winner buying favorite
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 328-bet record with positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $24,069 lifetime.
- They bought $1,058 of Yes at 89¢, adding to a market that moved 9 points today.
- The market is still moderately quiet, so a sharp wallet paying near 90¢ suggests strong conviction.
$1,058 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $5,170 (65% win rate)
- 0x5ce6...5cf2 — Yes, $3,428 (20% win rate)
- 0xae76...2763 — Yes, $3,263 (30% win rate)
- 0x0bd8...a74a — Yes, $3,000
- 0x0149...d3c5 — Yes, $2,459
- 0x76aa...c4f4 — Yes, $2,353 (100% win rate)
- 0x309b...02a0 — Yes, $1,934
- 0xe8c4...395d — Yes, $1,346 (95% win rate)
- 0x72cb...9eb3 — Yes, $1,206
- 0x37b2...ab29 — Yes, $1,073
Related Theses
Flavio Bolsonaro won't top first round
Covers 1 related market
AI lab solves another Millennium Prize problem
Covers 1 related market
Fed avoids rate cuts
Covers 2 related markets
Serbian students win most seats
Covers 1 related market
Astra releases by September 3, 2026
Covers 1 related market
Max attends, Sabrina skips wedding
Covers 2 related markets
WTI slides to $65
Covers 3 related markets
Starmer out by June 2026
Covers 2 related markets
Anthropic overtakes Google AI
Covers 2 related markets
