Part of: Houthi military action against Israel by...?
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,562.
Categories: Israel, Regional Spillover, Geopolitics, Iran, Military Strikes, Yemen, Houthis, Israel x Iran, Middle East
Notable Trades
6 sharp wallets pile into Yes
Six experienced and profitable wallets piled into Yes within minutes as this market exploded higher, suggesting coordinated conviction on a fast-moving geopolitical development.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $12.5k in a few minutes while Yes jumped 38 points.
- Several of these bettors have strong track records, including wallets with 94%, 90%, and 75% win rates.
- Some entries were as low as 37¢, and the market now trades at 94¢ after a 230x volume spike.
$12,460 on Yes
96% win-rate serial trader
A serial cross-market trader with a 96% win rate added to the favored No side in this conflict market after a sharp weekly price drop, making it a notable follow despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved markets across 1,416 bets, showing a strong pattern of picking outcomes that finish in the money.
- They bought No at 79¢ after the Yes side fell 26 points over the past week, backing the market favorite as tensions cooled.
- They trade heavily across related markets — 270 events and 349 markets tracked — which suggests a repeatable event-driven process rather than a one-off bet.
$1,386 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
96% win-rate event trader
A serial cross-market trader with an extraordinary 96% hit rate is buying No in a geopolitical event market at 78¢, making this a notable follow despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved markets across 1,409 bets, showing rare consistency at scale.
- They trade across related markets heavily — 270 events and 348 markets — which suggests a repeatable event-driven edge.
- They bought No at 78¢ while the market sits near 76% No, signaling a clear but not crowded view against a Houthi strike by the deadline.
$1,716 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xe8c2...9eee — Outcome 34257752, $2,103
- 0xe42b...8444 — Outcome 34257752, $1,815 (100% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 34257752, $1,600 (84% win rate)
- 0x6919...9ae7 — Outcome 34257752, $756
- 0xf8fd...4373 — Outcome 34257752, $687
- 0x61d7...7848 — Outcome 34257752, $643
- 0x21a1...2f95 — Outcome 34257752, $600
- 0xfb0a...93c2 — Outcome 34257752, $575
- 0xf9b7...60a4 — Outcome 34257752, $539 (61% win rate)
- 0xfb15...1038 — Outcome 34257752, $494
