Part of: Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
This prediction market tracks whether Israel will officially announce another extension or new agreement extending the April 16, 2026 ceasefire with Hezbollah by 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time on June 30, 2026. The market resolves “Yes” if Israel publicly commits to halting direct military engagement with Hezbollah within the deadline; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $2,175 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,175.
Categories: Israel, Hezbollah, Geopolitics, Middle East, Lebanon
Notable Trades
Proven cross-market bettor
Proven profitable cross-market trader bought Yes on a geopolitics market during a sharp price breakout.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,546 resolved trades and is up $258K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.58M deployed across 370 markets.
- Yes has jumped 18 points in the past day, and this trader still bought at 87¢.
$2,175 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x52f9...e1c7 — Outcome 86422092, $5,661 (58% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 86422092, $5,422
- 0x98d7...4c49 — Outcome 86422092, $2,700
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 86422092, $1,545 (41% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 86422092, $1,070 (71% win rate)
- 0xa8c6...44e8 — Outcome 28968064, $977 (68% win rate)
- 0x215a...254c — Outcome 86422092, $849
- 0xc1d0...2010 — Outcome 86422092, $845
- 0x24c8...23e1 — Outcome 86422092, $670 (39% win rate)
- 0xfec2...e459 — Outcome 86422092, $664
