Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
3 signals across 1 market · $12,663 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds on whether Israel officially announces another extension of the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by the listed deadline. PolySpotter has flagged $1,950 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial event trader, giving context beyond the market price alone.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner leads No cluster
Three wallets bought nearly $9k of No, led by a highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and long serial cross-market history.
$8,936Score: 13.1 - 96% win-rate geopolitics sharp
A highly profitable wallet with a 96% resolved win rate is buying No on a geopolitical ceasefire-extension market, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record.
$1,777Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought No on a geopolitical ceasefire market, though the size and supporting signals are moderate rather than exceptional.
$1,950Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe73874…df65$1,950 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$1,777 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Israel announces a Lebanon ceasefire extension?
The event’s Polymarket odds reflect traders’ current view on whether Israel will officially announce another ceasefire extension with Hezbollah by the deadline. Prices can move quickly as new statements, military developments, or diplomatic reports emerge.
What is the smart money doing on this ceasefire market?
PolySpotter is tracking $1,950 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial event trader. That activity can help identify whether experienced traders are taking a meaningful position before the market resolves.
What outcome does this prediction market cover?
This event covers whether Israel publicly announces another extension of the April 16, 2026 ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah, including extensions of prior agreements or a new qualifying agreement to halt direct military engagement.
When does the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on whether a qualifying announcement is made by the specified cutoff, with the event resolving by June 30, 2026.