Part of: Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by...?
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Israel will publicly and definitively announce a suspension of its military offensive in Lebanon by June 30, 2026. For a Yes resolution, the announcement must clearly cover both offensive ground operations and strikes such as airstrikes or artillery, not just a partial pause or limited ceasefire. Current market interest is thin, with $1,300 in tracked smart money and one recent smart-money signal.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,300.
Categories: Hezbollah, Geopolitics, Israel x Iran, Lebanon, Israel
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor in thin market
A proven sharp wallet with an 86% win rate made a meaningful buy in a thin market, which is notable despite the low composite score.
- This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up about $533k lifetime
- They bought $1.3k in a market with only $3.1k of 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
- The market jumped nearly 20 points in a day, and they still bought Yes at 69¢
$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 10033735, $1,280
- 0xd056...f1be — Outcome 10033735, $1,277
- 0x132d...b771 — Outcome 10033735, $1,000
- 0x47d7...df89 — Outcome 10033735, $1,000
- 0x496d...345e — Outcome 10033735, $1,000
- 0xff7c...b233 — Outcome 10033735, $932 (47% win rate)
- 0x475a...86ab — Outcome 10033735, $62
- 0x1c2d...4123 — Outcome 10033735, $50
- 0x46b3...d3de — Outcome 10033735, $30
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 10033735, $25
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Iran ceasefire will hold
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Iran keeps airspace open
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Israel keeps airspace open
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