Part of: Israel military action against Beirut by...?
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,166.
Categories: Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Hezbollah, Geopolitics, Israel x Iran
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market trader adds to No
A serial cross-market trader with 196 resolved bets is adding significantly to an existing No position in a relatively thin geopolitical market, though the historical win rate does not show a clear price-adjusted edge.
- This bettor has traded across 39 events and 59 markets, with 196 resolved bets and nearly $49,000 in realized profit.
- The $1,166 purchase adds to an existing $1,600 No position, signaling increased conviction at 73¢.
- The bet represents roughly 23% of the market’s 24-hour volume, while the market has recently drifted 6 percentage points lower.
$1,166 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x6c92...9627 — Outcome 91147475, $3,938
- 0x5004...9999 — Outcome 91147475, $1,775
- 0xd3ae...5b63 — Outcome 91147475, $1,200
- 0x3e59...b2be — Outcome 91147475, $909
- 0xc408...4675 — Outcome 91147475, $700 (69% win rate)
- 0x9afc...314b — Outcome 91147475, $542
- 0xd5db...3c45 — Outcome 91147475, $500 (50% win rate)
- 0xc602...7fc1 — Outcome 91147475, $500 (43% win rate)
- 0xb0fe...69a4 — Outcome 91147475, $223
- 0x2db7...8f9b — Outcome 91147475, $100 (49% win rate)
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