Part of: Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,776.
Categories: Lebanon, Hezbollah, Israel x Iran, Israel, strike, Geopolitics, Middle East
Notable Trades
New wallet scaling into Yes
A brand-new repeat wallet is making a concentrated Yes bet in an extremely thin market, though it has no proven track record yet.
- A wallet only 40 minutes old has flagged $20,154 across three positions, showing unusually strong early conviction.
- The $1,622 trade effectively buys Yes at 90¢ in a market with just $32 of liquidity and an 84-point spread.
- There is no resolved-position history yet, so the signal reflects conviction and market illiquidity rather than a proven edge.
$1,622 on Yes
New whale scaling into No
A brand-new wallet placed roughly $20,000 into No across an exceptionally illiquid market, creating a notable high-conviction signal despite having no proven track record.
- A wallet only 15 minutes old committed about $20,000 to No, with two large buys at 85¢ and 88¢.
- The position is enormous relative to the market’s roughly $28 liquidity and near-zero recent volume.
- There is no resolved-position history, so the conviction is notable but the trader’s reliability remains unproven.
$20,154 on No
Top Holders
- 0xf5e8...9fbd — Outcome 11085731, $2,450
- 0xdf90...41f0 — Outcome 11085731, $1,169 (49% win rate)
- 0xa815...9cbe — Outcome 11085731, $896
- 0x032a...cf07 — Outcome 11085731, $680
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 11085731, $167
- 0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 11085731, $50
- 0x03be...09d6 — Outcome 11085731, $49
- 0x923c...fa1d — Outcome 11085731, $47
- 0xcec6...cee3 — Outcome 11085731, $42
- 0x5662...9aaa — Outcome 11085731, $37
Related Theses
Israel attacks Lebanon after September 7
Covers 2 related markets
