James Comey arrested by May 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,480.

Categories: Trump, Politics, fbi, James Comey

Notable Trades

James Comey arrested by May 15?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$3,480 | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbf93...2fd7 No, $3,571 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x5654...b33e No, $2,830
  3. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $2,217 (47% win rate)
  4. 0xfd39...109d Yes, $1,586 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x8101...e7be Yes, $1,514 (48% win rate)
  6. 0xdaef...54e9 Yes, $1,000 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x8410...d4ec No, $980
  8. 0x8633...a08d Yes, $850 (67% win rate)
  9. 0x246b...1196 Yes, $600
  10. 0xae67...7cc8 Yes, $600

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

James Comey arrested by May 15?

15d$3,480 tracked1 signalTrumpPoliticsfbiJames Comey
Yes
87¢
No
14¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
90¢
77¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

James Comey arrested by May 15?

2h ago

$3,480

Related Theses

James Comey arrested by May 15? | PolySpotter