Part of: Kash Patel out by...?
Kash Patel out by December 31?
This prediction market tracks whether Kash Patel will cease to be Director of the FBI at any point by December 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if an official resignation or removal is announced before the deadline, even if the departure takes effect later; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $4,847 in smart money activity on this market, including 1 signal from a 14-wallet sharp cluster.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,847.
Categories: Trump, Politics, 2026 Winter Games
Notable Trades
14-wallet sharp cluster
A highly profitable serial political trader from a 14-wallet funded cluster made a nearly $4.8k buy that was over 60% of the market’s 24h volume, signaling coordinated conviction despite a modest pullback.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $1.26M lifetime.
- 14 wallets tied to the same funder have shown up together before, pointing to coordinated conviction.
- This $4.8k buy was 63% of the market’s 24-hour volume, so it stood out in a relatively thin market.
$4,847 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x0262...a9d2 — No, $18,203
- 0x8633...a08d — Yes, $13,881 (71% win rate)
- 0xaab9...a08d — Yes, $12,487 (59% win rate)
- 0xcfb5...7d2d — No, $10,854 (65% win rate)
- 0xfd39...109d — Yes, $7,619 (77% win rate)
- 0x71db...0fa8 — No, $7,281
- 0x0562...9d66 — No, $7,000 (40% win rate)
- 0x000d...758e — Yes, $6,304 (85% win rate)
- 0x874a...9d2e — No, $5,194
- 0xa022...77f8 — No, $4,943 (71% win rate)
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