Kash Patel out by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,847.

Categories: Trump, Politics, 2026 Winter Games

Notable Trades

14-wallet sharp cluster

A highly profitable serial political trader from a 14-wallet funded cluster made a nearly $4.8k buy that was over 60% of the market’s 24h volume, signaling coordinated conviction despite a modest pullback.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $1.26M lifetime.
  • 14 wallets tied to the same funder have shown up together before, pointing to coordinated conviction.
  • This $4.8k buy was 63% of the market’s 24-hour volume, so it stood out in a relatively thin market.

$4,847 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0262...a9d2 No, $15,031
  2. 0x8633...a08d Yes, $8,872 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x000d...758e Yes, $6,304 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xaab9...a08d Yes, $5,542 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xfd39...109d Yes, $5,016 (71% win rate)
  6. 0xa022...77f8 No, $4,689 (68% win rate)
  7. 0xcfb5...7d2d No, $4,442 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xb100...6461 Yes, $2,513 (57% win rate)
  9. 0x8bd8...12df Yes, $2,388 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x1966...25c0 No, $2,211

Related Theses

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Kash Patel out by December 31?

246d$4,847 tracked1 signalTrumpPolitics2026 Winter Games
Yes
83¢
No
17¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
85¢
78¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Kash Patel out by December 31?

4h ago

$4,847 on Yes at 77¢

77¢83¢6¢

Related Theses

Kash Patel out by December 31? | PolySpotter