Kash Patel out by June 30?

This Polymarket asks whether Kash Patel will cease to be FBI Director at any point by June 30, with the market resolving to Yes if he resigns or is removed before the deadline. It can also resolve early if an official announcement confirms his resignation or removal before the market ends. The market is tracked by PolySpotter, including smart money activity and recent bettor signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Trump, Politics, 2026 Winter Games

Notable Trades

79% win-rate political bettor

A profitable sharp bettor with a 79% win rate bought into a major breakout on a political market, suggesting conviction despite paying a premium above the current price.

  • This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up about $18.9k on $53k invested
  • They bought after this market broke far above its old range, with Yes jumping roughly 29 points beyond prior highs
  • A 73¢ entry implies they see the current political risk as still underpriced despite the recent surge

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xaab9...a08d — Yes, $3,916 (59% win rate)
  2. 0xdd9c...2a50 — Yes, $2,748 (79% win rate)
  3. 0xcc79...1c2a — No, $2,621
  4. 0x3269...1e7c — No, $2,450 (43% win rate)
  5. 0x8c57...f939 — No, $1,766 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xe278...b608 — No, $1,752 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x4828...ddd9 — Yes, $1,680
  8. 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $1,642 (47% win rate)
  9. 0x8633...a08d — Yes, $1,601 (63% win rate)
  10. 0xfd39...109d — Yes, $1,579 (70% win rate)

Kash Patel out by June 30?

71d$2,000 tracked1 signalTrumpPolitics2026 Winter Games
Yes
66¢
No
34¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
78¢
52¢
27¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Kash Patel out by June 30?

2h ago

$2,000 on Yes at 73¢

73¢→66¢↓7¢
Kash Patel Out by June 30? Polymarket Odds | PolySpotter