Part of: Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by June 30?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,921.

Categories: Trump, Politics, 2026 Winter Games

Notable Trades

Kash Patel out by June 30?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,921 | Wallet win rate: 70%

79% win-rate political bettor

A profitable sharp bettor with a 79% win rate bought into a major breakout on a political market, suggesting conviction despite paying a premium above the current price.

This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up about $18.9k on $53k invested
They bought after this market broke far above its old range, with Yes jumping roughly 29 points beyond prior highs
A 73¢ entry implies they see the current political risk as still underpriced despite the recent surge

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

0x44c1...ebc1 — Outcome 58296075, $19,457 (60% win rate)
0xdd9c...2a50 — Outcome 58296075, $2,748 (64% win rate)
0x4828...ddd9 — Outcome 58296075, $1,680
0x8797...bbbe — Outcome 58296075, $1,533 (76% win rate)
0x08ea...32ab — Outcome 58296075, $1,463
0x897a...4194 — Outcome 58296075, $1,032
0x8f21...b935 — Outcome 58296075, $1,000 (73% win rate)
0x5068...3e2d — Outcome 58296075, $912
0xd640...01f3 — Outcome 58296075, $900
0x9a64...9f01 — Outcome 58296075, $806

Related Theses

Massie wins KY-04 Republican nomination

Covers 2 related markets

Democrats will win both chambers

Covers 1 related market

Hurricanes beat Golden Knights

Covers 1 related market

Kash Patel out by June 30?

ResolvedKash Patel out by...?$3,921 tracked2 signalsTrumpPolitics2026 Winter Games

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.