Part of: Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,590.

Categories: Claude Mythos, Claude, AI, Anthropic IPO, Tech, Anthropic, AI Regulation, AI Releases

Notable Trades

Proven sharp adding to No

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding to an existing No position at market odds.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 1,026 resolved trades and is up $49,643 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 31 events and 46 markets, indicating a substantial, repeatable track record.
  • They are adding $2,110 to an existing No position at 71¢ while No trades around 72¢.

$1,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven sharp adding to No

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding to an existing No position at market odds.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 1,026 resolved trades and is up $49,643 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 31 events and 46 markets, indicating a substantial, repeatable track record.
  • They are adding $2,110 to an existing No position at 71¢ while No trades around 72¢.

$2,110 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Serial trader scaling into Yes

A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding substantially to an existing Yes position in a thin market after a sharp price rise.

  • This bettor is up $275,680 across 101 resolved trades and has traded 26 separate events.
  • They added $1,050 to an existing Yes position, bringing their open stake to roughly $3,800 at an average entry near 49¢.
  • The bet represented 55.6% of recent market volume, while Yes has risen 22.5% in one day and 32% in a week.

$1,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial trader backs No heavily

A proven serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate placed a large, highly concentrated No bet in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 75% of 75 resolved trades and has earned nearly $99,000.
  • The $1,731 No bet represented 91.6% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The trade aligns with a serial cross-market strategy spanning 29 events and 41 markets.

$1,731 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7578...6426 — Yes, $9,475 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x8633...8c5f — Yes, $5,340
  3. 0x0fbb...727f — Yes, $4,000
  4. 0xb2ca...5fb0 — Yes, $2,085
  5. 0xacdf...251c — Yes, $2,000
  6. 0x9e8e...8db8 — Yes, $851 (56% win rate)
  7. 0xbd81...006d — Yes, $817
  8. 0x00c8...a75f — Yes, $808
  9. 0xe8a2...54c2 — Yes, $800 (40% win rate)
  10. 0xb1fe...423a — Yes, $741

Related Theses

Iran blockade ends by September

Covers 7 related markets

Iran deal by June end

Covers 3 related markets

Iran ceasefire holds into November

Covers 5 related markets

Israel-Iran ceasefire will hold

Covers 9 related markets

Iran deal arrives after June

Covers 8 related markets

Iran closes airspace after May 15

Covers 3 related markets

Brief ceasefire collapses before August

Covers 3 related markets

Claude Fable returns by July

Covers 3 related markets

Anthropic won’t extend Fable access

Covers 1 related market

Trump-Putin won’t meet in China

Covers 1 related market

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?$6,590 tracked4 signalsClaude MythosClaudeAIAnthropic IPOTechAnthropicAI RegulationAI Releases
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Notable Trades

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

2026-08-31 12:20 UTC

$1,700 on No at 71¢

71¢→100¢↑29¢

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

2026-08-30 03:12 UTC

$2,110 on No at 71¢

71¢→100¢↑29¢

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

2026-08-26 16:24 UTC

$1,050 on Yes at 50¢

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

2026-08-21 07:23 UTC

$1,731 on No at 75¢

75¢→100¢↑25¢

Related Theses

Iran blockade ends by September
Wallet_0x524db trades 7 related markets
US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…US announces end of Iranian bl…
Iran deal by June end
Wallet_0x2b670 trades 3 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Iran ceasefire holds into November
Wallet_0x524db trades 5 related markets
US x Iran ceasefire continues …US x Iran ceasefire continues …US x Iran ceasefire continues …
Israel-Iran ceasefire will hold
Wallet_0x524db trades 9 related markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…Israel x Iran ceasefire contin…
Iran deal arrives after June
Wallet_0x27798 trades 8 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Iran closes airspace after May 15
Wallet_0x27798 trades 3 related markets
Iran closes its airspace by Ma…Iran closes its airspace by Ma…Iran closes its airspace by Ma…
Brief ceasefire collapses before August
Wallet_0x524db trades 3 related markets
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …US x Iran Effective Ceasefire …
Claude Fable returns by July
Wallet_0x2b670 trades 3 related markets
Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…Will Claude Fable 5 be restore…
Anthropic won’t extend Fable access
Wallet_0x2b670 trades 1 related market
Will Anthropic extend Claude F…
Trump-Putin won’t meet in China
Wallet_0x524db trades 1 related market
Will Trump and Putin meet next…