Part of: Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,568.

Categories: Claude Mythos, Claude, AI, Anthropic IPO, Tech, Anthropic, AI Regulation, AI Releases

Notable Trades

Serial sharp scaling into No

A proven 78% winner with extensive cross-market activity is adding $1,568 to an existing No position at near-even odds.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 1,041 resolved trades and is up $49,173 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,568 to an existing No position after already investing $4,406, signaling increased conviction.
  • The wallet has traded across 33 events and 48 markets, while No is available near a 50¢ entry.

$1,568 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5243...1aa6 — No, $64,500
  2. 0x5846...1057 — No, $28,580
  3. 0xf81a...eba3 — No, $26,613
  4. 0x5eb0...5012 — No, $25,608 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x99df...5917 — No, $13,603
  6. 0xf440...b009 — No, $3,730 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xbb7e...e282 — No, $2,701
  8. 0x179b...46f4 — No, $1,653
  9. 0x31a9...22d3 — No, $1,535
  10. 0x2b1a...9cce — No, $1,340

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Iran deal arrives after June

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Ruth González Silva will win

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Clarity Act won't become law

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Mythos model release delayed past September

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Iran closes airspace after May 15

Covers 3 related markets

Skin cancer vaccine approval delayed past 2027

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Valles Sampedro will win Sonora

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Fed will hike by September 2026

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Janaina Riva will place second

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Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?$1,568 tracked1 signalClaude MythosClaudeAIAnthropic IPOTechAnthropicAI RegulationAI Releases
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Notable Trades

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?

2026-08-31 15:14 UTC

$1,568 on No at 50¢

Related Theses