Part of: Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,568.
Categories: Claude Mythos, Claude, AI, Anthropic IPO, Tech, Anthropic, AI Regulation, AI Releases
Notable Trades
Serial sharp scaling into No
A proven 78% winner with extensive cross-market activity is adding $1,568 to an existing No position at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 78% of 1,041 resolved trades and is up $49,173 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,568 to an existing No position after already investing $4,406, signaling increased conviction.
- The wallet has traded across 33 events and 48 markets, while No is available near a 50¢ entry.
$1,568 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x5243...1aa6 — No, $64,500
- 0x5846...1057 — No, $28,580
- 0xf81a...eba3 — No, $26,613
- 0x5eb0...5012 — No, $25,608 (65% win rate)
- 0x99df...5917 — No, $13,603
- 0xf440...b009 — No, $3,730 (63% win rate)
- 0xbb7e...e282 — No, $2,701
- 0x179b...46f4 — No, $1,653
- 0x31a9...22d3 — No, $1,535
- 0x2b1a...9cce — No, $1,340
Related Theses
Iran deal arrives after June
Covers 8 related markets
Ruth González Silva will win
Covers 1 related market
Clarity Act won't become law
Covers 1 related market
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario
Covers 1 related market
Mythos model release delayed past September
Covers 2 related markets
Iran closes airspace after May 15
Covers 3 related markets
Skin cancer vaccine approval delayed past 2027
Covers 1 related market
Valles Sampedro will win Sonora
Covers 1 related market
Fed will hike by September 2026
Covers 1 related market
Janaina Riva will place second
Covers 1 related market
