Part of: Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?

This prediction market tracks whether Ilie Bolojan will cease to be Prime Minister of Romania at any time before May 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, or an official announcement confirms his departure before the deadline; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,258 in smart money activity on this market, including 1 recent signal in a relatively thin market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,258.

Categories: Romania, World, Politics

Notable Trades

Profitable wallet on thin market

A profitable high-volume wallet made a No bet over 4x the market's 24h volume on a quiet Romanian politics market.

  • This wallet is up $314k lifetime and is backing No at 82¢.
  • The $1.26k bet is over 4x this market’s 24h volume, making it meaningful in a quiet order book.
  • The bettor has also put about $2.5k into related markets, suggesting a broader Romania politics view.

$1,258 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd6b6...342b No, $1,829 (43% win rate)
  2. 0x7cbd...1288 Yes, $600
  3. 0x3a08...882d No, $403
  4. 0xc602...7fc1 Yes, $402 (39% win rate)
  5. 0xd5b9...e44e Yes, $326
  6. 0xbc60...af79 No, $245 (59% win rate)
  7. 0x8e78...ea77 No, $239
  8. 0x2e6b...2495 No, $232
  9. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $201 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xbaad...a862 Yes, $200

Related Theses

Bolojan exits in June

Covers 2 related markets

Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?

19dRomanian PM Bolojan out by...?$1,258 tracked1 signalRomaniaWorldPolitics
Yes
10¢
No
91¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
93¢
56¢
19¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?

3h ago

$1,258 on No at 82¢

82¢91¢9¢

Related Theses