Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
6 signals across 2 markets · $9,606 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania by the listed deadline, with traders pricing the Yes/No outcome. PolySpotter has tracked $1,258 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent alert from a profitable wallet in a thinly traded market.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial politics trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader exited a No position on a thin Romanian politics market just before Yes moved higher, suggesting a meaningful directional shift despite being partly profit-taking.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial politics trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader exited a No position on a thin Romanian politics market just before Yes moved higher, suggesting a meaningful directional shift despite being partly profit-taking.
$1,969Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.5 - Profitable wallet on thin market
A profitable high-volume wallet made a No bet over 4x the market's 24h volume on a quiet Romanian politics market.
$1,258Wallet win rate: 44%Score: 3.1 - Proven 77% winner buys NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 77% win rate across 1,000 resolved trades with positive lifetime P&L and bought No at 71¢.
$1,083Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 2.0 - 88% winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a political market despite the alert’s low composite score.
$1,425Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 2.0 - Proven 77% winner buys NO
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 77% win rate across 1,000 resolved trades with positive lifetime P&L and bought No at 71¢.
$1,371Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x12a220…0e71$4,469 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x344f3b…9dec$2,454 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x760907…6c4e$1,425 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xd6b6f6…342b$1,258 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Romanian PM Ilie Bolojan is out by May 31?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing whether Ilie Bolojan will stop being Romania’s prime minister by May 31. Check the event page for the latest Yes/No market price and recent movement.
What does this Romanian PM Bolojan prediction market cover?
This event covers whether Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period before the specified deadline. A resignation or removal announcement before the market end date can resolve the market to Yes.
Is smart money betting on Bolojan leaving office?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,258 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this event. The latest alert noted a profitable wallet trading in a thin market, which can be worth watching but may also mean prices move easily.
When does the Bolojan out market resolve?
The event is listed with a resolution timeline running to 2026-12-31, while the active child market shown asks whether Bolojan is out by May 31. Final resolution depends on official information and the exact market rules.
Where can I track Romanian politics Polymarket odds?
PolySpotter tracks Polymarket prediction markets for Romanian politics, including live odds, smart money signals, and notable wallet activity around events like Bolojan’s tenure as prime minister.