Part of: Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

This Polymarket market resolves Yes if authorized Russian and Ukrainian representatives hold a diplomatic meeting about a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Current odds were not included in the supplied market data; PolySpotter tracks $15,702 in smart money, with one recent alert reporting a build in No positions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,723.

Categories: putin, Russia, Ukraine, Politics, zelensky, zelenskyy, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

Adding to No after sharp odds drop

The trader added $3,799 to an existing No position at 38¢ after No fell sharply below its prior range, though the wallet’s small track record does not establish a proven edge.

  • Added $3,799 to an existing No position, bringing prior investment in it to $10,000.
  • No is priced at 38¢ after falling below its earlier 64¢–80¢ range; the wallet is betting on a rebound in No odds.

$3,799 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Three-wallet contrarian Yes flow

Three wallets moved roughly $22K into Yes-equivalent exposure during a 57.9x volume spike, though their prior No positions make this look partly like exits rather than unequivocal fresh conviction.

  • Three wallets traded about $22,000 toward Yes within roughly a minute, against a market that has fallen 24.5% over the past week.
  • The trades coincided with a 57.9x volume spike, but all three wallets were closing prior No positions bought around 71¢, so this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh Yes bet.

$20,221 on Yes

Three-wallet No-position build

Three wallets added $15.7K to existing No positions during a 54x volume spike, with the market's No price strengthening over the past week.

  • Three wallets added $15,702 to No within seconds, increasing already substantial positions.
  • Trading coincided with a 54x volume spike, while No odds strengthened 21 percentage points over the past week.
  • The wallets' records are mixed, so the coordinated buying and market movement are the main signals—not proven bettor skill.

$15,702 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x0047...4575 — Yes, $5,947 (44% win rate)
  2. 0xf27d...e6d3 — No, $5,688 (24% win rate)
  3. 0x1b60...a55b — Yes, $5,549 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xaaf7...2e27 — Yes, $5,088
  5. 0x0e09...05bb — Yes, $4,873 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x60a9...5a71 — No, $2,020 (48% win rate)
  7. 0x9648...6825 — No, $1,974 (72% win rate)
  8. 0xc0df...9cf1 — No, $1,892
  9. 0x54a5...ee3d — Yes, $1,718 (31% win rate)
  10. 0x06ac...79ec — Yes, $1,700 (67% win rate)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?$39,723 tracked3 signalsputinRussiaUkrainePoliticszelenskyzelenskyyGeopolitics
Yes
69¢
No
32¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes”
87¢
77¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

2026-10-23 02:57 UTC

$3,799 on No at 38¢

38¢→32¢↓6¢

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

2026-10-23 08:05 UTC

$20,221 on Yes at 25¢

25¢→69¢↑44¢

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

2026-10-16 03:00 UTC

$15,702 on No at 71¢

71¢→32¢↓39¢