Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,455.

Categories: Politics, putin, zelensky, Geopolitics, Russia, Ukraine

Notable Trades

72% winner buying YES

A proven serial cross-market trader with a 72% resolved win rate bought $5.5k of Yes in a relatively quiet geopolitical market.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 106 events with $8.8M in total volume, suggesting a seasoned cross-market edge.
  • This $5.5K buy was about 70% of the market’s 24h volume, and the price has already moved from 78¢ to 81¢.

$5,455 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd5cc...dea4 Yes, $7,000 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x3ea7...7fc0 No, $4,466
  3. 0x709a...7e39 Yes, $2,020
  4. 0x7fd3...e662 No, $2,000 (41% win rate)
  5. 0x7e80...631b No, $1,130
  6. 0xc602...7fc1 No, $740 (39% win rate)
  7. 0xce4d...d0e2 Yes, $310
  8. 0x4262...abaa No, $289
  9. 0x2c0e...fb07 No, $260
  10. 0x5c66...31e3 No, $200

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

238d$5,455 tracked1 signalPoliticsputinzelenskyGeopoliticsRussiaUkraine
Yes
83¢
No
18¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
84¢
74¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

1h ago

$5,455 on Yes at 78¢

78¢83¢5¢

Related Theses

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | PolySpotter