Part of: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
This prediction market asks whether SpaceX’s market capitalization will close above $2.2 trillion on its first day of public trading. It resolves “Yes” only if an IPO occurs and the official first-day closing market cap exceeds $2.2T; if no IPO happens by December 31, 2027, it resolves “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,870 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,870.
Categories: Tech, Big Tech, Elon Musk, IPO, SpaceX, IPOs, Climate & Science
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
A profitable cross-market bettor is adding a meaningful Yes position in a very thin SpaceX IPO valuation market, with the bet dwarfing recent activity despite a wide spread.
- This wallet is up $5.6k lifetime and has traded across 5 related SpaceX IPO markets.
- The $1.9k buy was about 26x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 49¢ is above the current 41¢ odds, so this is a higher-risk thesis on SpaceX clearing a $2.2T IPO valuation.
$1,870 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 42%
Top Holders
- 0x16c7...3931 — Yes, $13,470 (42% win rate)
- 0x7789...a2ce — No, $3,600 (57% win rate)
- 0xe74d...22fd — No, $2,076 (36% win rate)
- 0x0826...0b32 — No, $2,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x44a5...d2ee — No, $1,650 (50% win rate)
- 0x5f45...cabc — Yes, $1,420
- 0x7747...8f45 — No, $1,363
- 0xf797...0bf2 — No, $1,000
- 0x25dc...e33b — No, $918 (54% win rate)
- 0xda9d...5071 — Yes, $813
Related Theses
SpaceX IPO tops $2T
Covers 5 related markets
