SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,314.
Notable Trades
Profitable buyer chasing breakout
A profitable wallet bought into a strong breakout on a forward-looking SpaceX IPO market, with the trade meaningful relative to subdued daily volume and backed by sharp recent momentum.
- This bettor is up $25.5k across 38 resolved trades, suggesting results worth tracking even with a modest 58% win rate
- The market has broken far above its old range, jumping to 55¢ after trading between 8¢ and 21¢ before
- A $1.3k buy is notable in a market with only about $4.5k of 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a thinner market
$1,314 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x16c7...3931 — Yes, $36,175 (58% win rate)
- 0xdd2f...7e70 — Yes, $17,324
- 0x4818...bf0b — No, $7,654
- 0xb6c3...eb07 — No, $5,000
- 0xf566...1386 — No, $4,550 (60% win rate)
- 0x7789...a2ce — No, $4,490 (57% win rate)
- 0x460a...e696 — No, $4,403
- 0x6305...9d0b — No, $3,998
- 0x2663...ed1f — Yes, $3,764
- 0x46a1...2736 — No, $3,182 (65% win rate)
