Part of: Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,500.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Breakout buyer on politics

Moderate-conviction political bet: one wallet bought Yes at 86¢ during a sharp breakout in a previously quiet market, though the wallet’s track record is still limited.

  • A bettor bought $1.5K of Yes at 86¢ as the market broke sharply higher.
  • The trade was larger than recent quiet-market volume and came with a 26-point price breakout.
  • The wallet is up $2.5K so far, but its track record is still small at 4 resolved bets.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x121d...832a Outcome 99764734, $7,200 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x77c8...bc8c Outcome 99764734, $5,078 (37% win rate)
  3. 0xf769...0114 Outcome 99764734, $3,809 (79% win rate)
  4. 0xbd04...fbb0 Outcome 99764734, $3,313 (73% win rate)
  5. 0x4d19...f1dc Outcome 99764734, $1,632
  6. 0xf27d...e6d3 Outcome 99764734, $1,510 (24% win rate)
  7. 0xa55f...4f15 Outcome 99764734, $1,500 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x0a6d...1d0a Outcome 99764734, $1,437
  9. 0x9b19...ea52 Outcome 99764734, $1,300
  10. 0xdb9a...6e8b Outcome 99764734, $1,250 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

Starmer exits in summer 2026

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

ResolvedStarmer out by...?$1,500 tracked1 signalStarmerUKkeirGrooming GangsPoliticsWorld

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Notable Trades

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

65d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 86¢

Related Theses