Part of: Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Keir Starmer will cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point before the market deadline on July 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, or an official resignation/removal announcement is made before the end date; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $2,500 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,500.
Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World
Notable Trades
Profitable serial politics bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No in a thin politics market while holding a broader $12.5k position across related Starmer markets.
- This bettor has won 69% of 321 resolved bets and is up $23k lifetime.
- They have put $12.5k across 4 related Starmer markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off bet.
- This $2.5k No buy was 61% of the market’s 24h volume in a thin market with a wide spread.
$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xb4f2...e5fa — No, $3,612 (69% win rate)
- 0x364f...1515 — Yes, $1,598
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $901
- 0x2f26...0d8f — Yes, $511
- 0x1834...051e — Yes, $300
- 0x392a...262d — Yes, $200
- 0x7e80...631b — Yes, $164
- 0x645a...fd84 — No, $125
- 0x0d66...79ca — Yes, $100
- 0xf636...b088 — No, $24 (45% win rate)
