Part of: Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,942.

Categories: Tesla, Elon Musk, SpaceX, Big Tech, Space, Tech

Notable Trades

93% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on the Tesla/SpaceX merger market at 75¢.

  • This bettor has won 39 of 42 resolved bets and is up $8,775 lifetime.
  • They bought No at 75¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ in their favor.
  • The market is relatively quiet, so a $1.1K buy from a proven wallet is worth watching.

$1,825 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

93% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on the Tesla/SpaceX merger market at 75¢.

  • This bettor has won 39 of 42 resolved bets and is up $8,775 lifetime.
  • They bought No at 75¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ in their favor.
  • The market is relatively quiet, so a $1.1K buy from a proven wallet is worth watching.

$1,117 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?$2,942 tracked2 signalsTeslaElon MuskSpaceXBig TechSpaceTech
Yes
10¢
No
91¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No”
93¢
86¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

2026-09-08 00:12 UTC

$1,825 on No at 75¢

75¢→91¢↑16¢

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

2026-07-02 10:06 UTC

$1,117 on No at 75¢

75¢→91¢↑16¢

Related Theses