Part of: Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Iran will experience a total internet blackout by July 31, 2026, based on Cloudflare Radar traffic data. A “Yes” outcome requires Iran’s total bytes transferred to fall to 1.0% or less of the prior four-week maximum for at least six consecutive hourly readings. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,153 in smart money activity and 1 recent smart money signal on this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM (UTC+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d). The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare. Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all relevant data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,153.

Categories: Politics, cloudflare, internet, outage, Iran, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

97% winner buying breakout

Sharp wallet with a 97% resolved-bet win rate bought Yes into a major upward price breakout on an Iran internet blackout market.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $5.5k lifetime.
  • Their Yes buy helped confirm a sharp breakout, with the price now far above its prior 44¢ range.
  • Entry at 80¢ is high, but the wallet’s track record makes this worth following.

$1,153 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $19,813
  2. 0x7cfe...74da No, $12,041
  3. 0x6d55...1a65 Yes, $9,822
  4. 0x9a3f...914a Yes, $8,000 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x7e30...e8f5 Yes, $6,810 (97% win rate)
  6. 0xfe49...7a4c Yes, $5,009 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xb37a...f1b1 Yes, $4,712 (54% win rate)
  8. 0x7b75...3fd1 Yes, $4,095 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x4e59...e56a No, $3,962
  10. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $3,384 (46% win rate)

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?

48dTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by...?$1,153 tracked1 signalPoliticscloudflareinternetoutageIranGeopolitics
Yes
73¢
No
28¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM (UTC+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d). The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare. Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all relevant data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes
77¢
57¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?

2h ago

$1,153 on Yes at 80¢

80¢73¢7¢