Part of: Claude Mythos released by…?

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

This Polymarket market tracks whether Anthropic will release a “Claude Mythos” model by June 9, 2026, after reports of a leak and early access testing for the unreleased AI system. PolySpotter is tracking $1,121 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including activity from a profitable AI-release bettor. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 10, 2026, based on whether Claude Mythos is officially released by the deadline.

A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,121.

Categories: anthropic, Tech, AI, Claude

Notable Trades

Profitable new AI-release bettor

A 12-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets is buying Yes on a thin AI-release market while also positioning across related markets.

  • This 12-day-old bettor is already up $6.2K on $28K invested, with 6 flagged positions so far.
  • They are spreading a $12K thesis across 3 related markets, suggesting a focused view on this event.
  • The market is thin, and this $1.1K Yes buy is meaningful versus $3.4K liquidity.

$1,121 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4903...a423 Yes, $6,114
  2. 0xf1f9...1245 No, $3,750 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x4c61...db4b No, $3,230 (69% win rate)
  4. 0xb961...4e41 No, $3,102
  5. 0x9a3f...914a Yes, $3,000 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x2688...cb00 No, $2,702
  7. 0x6dce...4490 No, $2,256 (19% win rate)
  8. 0x7578...6426 Yes, $2,197 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x4eb7...ae9b No, $2,068
  10. 0xe64e...c86f No, $1,800 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Mythos releases by June 9

Covers 3 related markets

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

15hClaude Mythos released by…?$1,121 tracked1 signalanthropicTechAIClaude
Yes
52¢
No
49¢

A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “Yes
52¢
50¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

2h ago

$1,121 on Yes at 51¢

51¢52¢1¢

Related Theses