Part of: Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Alberta will pass a referendum establishing, planning, or expressing independence from Canada by December 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if a qualifying referendum passes; otherwise, it resolves No. Current odds are determined by market trading, with the latest price available on the market page.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,882.
Categories: World, Canada, Trump, Politics
Notable Trades
Repeat whale buying No
A repeat large bettor with a small but perfect resolved record put $5.7k on No in a relatively quiet Alberta independence market.
- This wallet has won all 5 resolved bets so far and is up $4.4k lifetime.
- The $5.7k No buy was large for recent activity, flagged as over 10x the market’s thin 24h volume baseline.
- This is a clear conviction bet at 87¢ that Alberta independence will not pass by the end of 2026.
$1,203 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Repeat whale buying No
A repeat large bettor with a small but perfect resolved record put $5.7k on No in a relatively quiet Alberta independence market.
- This wallet has won all 5 resolved bets so far and is up $4.4k lifetime.
- The $5.7k No buy was large for recent activity, flagged as over 10x the market’s thin 24h volume baseline.
- This is a clear conviction bet at 87¢ that Alberta independence will not pass by the end of 2026.
$5,679 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
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