What does the Feijóo Spain prime minister market predict?

It predicts whether Alberto Núñez Feijóo will be the next person to officially assume Spain’s office of prime minister by March 31, 2028.

What must happen for this market to resolve Yes?

Feijóo must receive a vote of confidence from Spain’s Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn in, resulting in the formation of a new government.

When does the Feijóo prediction market resolve?

The market covers qualifying appointments by March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, with the listed resolution timestamp of April 1, 2028, at 03:59 UTC.

What smart money activity is reported for this market?

The supplied metadata reports $44,000 in tracked smart money and one signal, with a recent alert describing a whale adding to a six-figure Yes position.

Part of: Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Q: Does a caretaker prime minister count?

No. An interim or caretaker prime minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence does not count toward resolution.

This Polymarket market asks whether Alberto Núñez Feijóo will officially become Spain’s next prime minister by March 31, 2028. It resolves only after a successful Congress of Deputies confidence vote and formal swearing-in; the supplied data reports one smart money signal and $44,000 tracked, but does not include current odds.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,000.

Categories: Spain, Politics, Elections, parliament, Main Election, Pedro Sanchez, Global Elections

Notable Trades

97% winner adding to position

A highly profitable bettor with 97% wins across 150 resolved markets is adding $5,000 to an existing Yes position at 82¢.

This bettor has won 146 of 150 resolved bets and is up $154,773.
They added $5,000 to an existing Yes position at 82¢, matching the current market odds.
The wallet has traded across 66 events, with a reported 16-point edge over average odds.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Whale adding to six-figure Yes position

A large $44,000 buy adds to the wallet’s existing six-figure Yes position, showing notable conviction despite limited evidence of a proven track record.

The bettor added $44,000 to an existing Yes position with over $101,000 invested.
The wallet has also placed $69,000 across two markets tied to the same event, though its track record is only two resolved wins.
The buy was near the market price at 79¢, so the signal is the scale and added conviction rather than a clear discount.

$44,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%