Part of: CO-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,180.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Colorado Primary, June 30 Primaries, Primaries, primary elections, USA Election, House Primary, Democratic Primary

Notable Trades

Elite political cross-market bettor

Sharp political bettor with an 86% win rate and $445k lifetime profit bought No on a niche CO-03 nomination market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 79 markets, suggesting a repeatable politics edge.
The $2.8k No buy was large for this quiet market, nearly matching recent 24h volume.

$1,482 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Elite political cross-market bettor

Sharp political bettor with an 86% win rate and $445k lifetime profit bought No on a niche CO-03 nomination market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 79 markets, suggesting a repeatable politics edge.
The $2.8k No buy was large for this quiet market, nearly matching recent 24h volume.

$1,587 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

77% winner buying YES

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable 77% winner with a strong edge is buying Yes in an obscure political primary market.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $321k lifetime.
Their results beat average market odds by 23 points, suggesting a real edge rather than just favorites.
Bought Yes at 50¢, and the market has already moved to 54¢.

$1,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Elite political cross-market bettor

Sharp political bettor with an 86% win rate and $445k lifetime profit bought No on a niche CO-03 nomination market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 79 markets, suggesting a repeatable politics edge.
The $2.8k No buy was large for this quiet market, nearly matching recent 24h volume.

$2,760 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Perfect-record primary bettor

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the wallet has an 11-0 resolved record with positive P&L and is buying a meaningful Yes position in a thin political primary market.

This bettor has won 11 of 11 resolved trades and is up $1,514 lifetime.
The $1,188 Yes buy is large for this quiet market, equal to about 41% of the past day’s volume.
Entry at 54¢ suggests they see Kelloff as mispriced in a thin 2026 primary market.

$1,188 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 65699092, $14,838
0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 18573289, $6,876 (96% win rate)
0x44c1...ebc1 — Outcome 18573289, $6,574 (59% win rate)
0x944e...8c94 — Outcome 18573289, $2,030 (66% win rate)
0x45b2...cbc1 — Outcome 18573289, $1,332 (15% win rate)
0xbcd6...f3c8 — Outcome 18573289, $1,031
0xbd04...a64a — Outcome 18573289, $851
0xc01f...cd8e — Outcome 18573289, $353 (61% win rate)
0x3839...e2ee — Outcome 18573289, $324 (47% win rate)
0x6291...cc47 — Outcome 18573289, $300

Related Theses

Espriella loses Colombian election

Covers 16 related markets

LeBron retires before 2026-27

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer exits before July 2026

Covers 1 related market

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

ResolvedCO-03 Democratic Primary Winner $8,180 tracked5 signalsPoliticsElectionsColorado PrimaryJune 30 PrimariesPrimariesprimary electionsUSA ElectionHouse PrimaryDemocratic Primary

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “No”

102¢

68¢

34¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction