Part of: WI-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,749.

Categories: Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, House Primary, Wisconsin Primary, primary elections, Democratic Primary, August 11 Primaries, Politics, US Election

Notable Trades

Serial trader adds large No position

A serial cross-market trader made a large additional No bet in an extremely thin market, though their historical results do not show a clear pricing edge.

This trader put $1,749 into No in a market with only about $1,785 in total volume.
The wallet has traded across 91 events and 99 markets, giving the position broader context than a one-off bet.
No has since risen from the 79¢ entry to about 91¢, but the wallet’s 71% win rate at 84¢ average winning prices is not exceptionally sharp.

$1,749 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 14464761, $4,211
0x122c...fbed — Outcome 41887605, $1,538 (63% win rate)
0xc684...2228 — Outcome 41887605, $310 (77% win rate)
0x808a...ef3f — Outcome 41887605, $222 (71% win rate)
0x0640...5ea2 — Outcome 41887605, $77
0x764a...83d3 — Outcome 41887605, $50
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 41887605, $50
0xfab1...f0cc — Outcome 41887605, $50
0x0781...c4ff — Outcome 41887605, $23
0xaf8f...1de7 — Outcome 41887605, $7

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Either Shaheen or Sullivan wins nomination

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Cori Bush wins Democratic nomination

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Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?

ResolvedWI-06 Democratic Primary Winner$1,749 tracked1 signalElectionsPrimariesdeprec USA ElectionHouse PrimaryWisconsin Primaryprimary electionsDemocratic PrimaryAugust 11 PrimariesPoliticsUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “No”

96¢

85¢

74¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction